Introduction
1.The development of on-chain businesses One of Armstrong’s most prominent predictions is the growth of what he calls “on-chain economies.” These are ecosystems built entirely on blockchain networks, where activities like payments, commerce, identity verification, and social interactions occur transparently and without centralized control, Armstrong envisions a future in which crypto will be a way to earn, spend, borrow and save without ever using fiat currencies.
2.Institutional adoption will be much quicker. Coinbase has really invested in institutional infrastructure (e.g., launching Coinbase Prime, partnering with BlackRock, and many other important financial institutions). Armstrong thinks we are just getting started. He foresees a time when pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, and global asset managers put a small but meaningful share of their portfolio into crypto assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
4. Little by little, regulatory convergence is on the way Leaving behind the recent turmoil of legal disputes, including Coinbase's case currently against the U.S. SEC, Armstrong believes that global regulators will eventually settle on frameworks that will spur innovation while protecting consumers. "Crypto happens globally, and regulators are starting to understand that they need to coordinate," he said. By the end of the decade, Armstrong sees a "baseline" of regulation that is consistent globally - especially with global competition to attract Web3 business and talent.
6. Creator Economy and Web3 will explode. Armstrong states that through its Web3 wallet and NFT marketplace efforts, Coinbase has made big investment in the creator economy. Web3 platforms will allow creators to take charge of their content, communities, and revenue streams, and in some cases Web3 platforms will eclipse centralised services like YouTube and Instagram. “The internet is literally being re-architected,” said Armstrong, “and creators will be one of the biggest beneficiaries.” Armstrong believes that cryptocurrency will be at the core of the next generation of internet applications, from NFT music rights and asset collections to decentralized social media.
7. Cryptocurrency and AI: A Natural Fit Armstrong has pointed out the integration of cryptocurrency and artificial intelligence as a significant trend in a more recent set of predictions. He believes that AI models will need decentralized access to compute resources, data validation, and micropayments more often, all of which blockchain can uniquely provide. Coinbase Ventures has started investing in AI+crypto startups, as part of this thesis. Armstrong has said it will be similar to what the internet and mobile gave us apps with Uber and Airbnb, AI and cryptography will bring about completely new types of innovation.
One Billion Crypto Users
Possibly Armstrong's most ambitious prediction is that more than one billion people will be regular crypto users within the next ten years. He notes that for this to happen, the user experience has to improve drastically—from wallets to gas fees to security.
With its simple consumer apps, Base L2, and efforts to abstract blockchain complexity, Coinbase has started moving in this direction. Armstrong believes the next wave of crypto apps will be at least as easy to use as the best mobile apps are today.
Conclusion
Brian Armstrong's forecasts are not just idle thoughts or speculation—they are likely explainable by Coinbase's investment, product, and regulatory strategy. And even if not all of the forecasts come to fruition they provide a persuasive insight into the direction of the crypto industry.
It is important to give serious consideration to Armstrong's thoughts because he is one of the rare leaders that brings Wall Street credibility to Silicon Valley innovation.
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